![]() Maroon-Paul-Colton vs Bunting-Kerfoot-AcciariĪgain, closer than I would’ve expected at 5v5, but edge still goes to Toronto. ![]() Nylander has been clearly better than him all things considered. Is Cirelli’s defense able to make up for it? Because apart from a favorable on-ice save percentage, he’s only slightly above water in goal rates. I think the biggest outlier here is the talent of William Nylander over Anthony Cirelli, especially offensively. That still puts the advantage in the Leafs favor. The next guy up for Toronto is Michael Bunting, who you will see has 15 5v5 goals this year pro-rated. Toronto’s deadline acquisition has deepened their roster and given them this boost over the Lightning. We always knew this was going to be where the Lightning fell behind the Leafs. Louis as he is having in Toronto, so I got lucky in having to consider differences. In fact, ROR had the same scoring rate at 5v5 in St. I’m going to say right at the top that Cirelli’s number is scaled up like all the others to an 82-game season, as is Ryan O’Reilly. Killorn-Cirelli-Stamkos vs Tavares-O’Reilly-Nylander ![]() You’ll notice in the power play numbers than Point matched John Tavares in the leaderboard, while Stamkos and Matthews ended with about the same numbers.Īnyway, the top lines saw each other off, what the difference will be who can actually put the puck in the net and get that shooting percentage advantage. ![]() Point is about to have a 50-goal season, and Matthews in a down year is going to hit 40 anyway, but at 5v5 they net out to be identical. It’s sort of comical that both first lines for these two teams ended with the exact same goal totals. Hagel-Point-Kucherov vs Järnkrok-Matthews-Marner Some of these numbers might change, but 80 games of data is significant and skipping the final two shouldn’t make a noticable difference. I wrote this article on Sunday (April 9th) evening and I’m not going to try and adjust any scoring numbers between that time and the end of the regular season. All special teams (5v4, 5v3, 4v4, 3v3, etc) will be added below. Zach Aston-Reese – David Kämpf – Sam LaffertyĪll the goal counts are pro-rated to 82 games and account for only 5v5. Michael Bunting – Alex Kerfoot – Noel Acciari John Tavares – Ryan O’Reilly – William Nylander Michael Eyssimont – Pierre-Edouard Bellemare – Corey PerryĬalle Järnkrok – Auston Matthews – Mitch Marner The Lightning’s Linesīrandon Hagel – Brayden Point – Nikita KucherovĪlex Killorn – Anthony Cirelli – Steven Stamkos I won’t spoil the goaltending results, but they will surprise you. Personally, I don’t think the Leafs have set up their best possible lineup, and it’ll be interesting to see how long before they go a different way. Both teams have a “shutdown” pair that they’ve put together, as well as an offensive pair. It was also interesting to see how each team organizes their defense. And especially how each team produces their offense.įor the Lightning, you will find a lot of their scoring comes from the power play and the top six, whereas the Leafs it comes from the top end and their depth in scoring. How they are similar and how they are different. This tells the story of the regular season for both the Bolts and the Leafs.
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